NZ covid current status
Last updated: Wednesday 11 December 2024 02:06PM
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Recent indicators
Useful indicators in the last 6 months compared to the average for that indicator for the year of July 2023 to June 2024 (inclusive). I am using the year of June 2023 - July 2024 because that is a good period for the post naive population ongoing covid baseline.
Death recent Trends
Covid and non-Covid weekly deaths compared to the ASMR based expected total deaths for that week, based on the 2014-2019 +2023 trend for that week of the year. This is a recent change from the 2013-2019 baseline. As 2023 was closer to that baseline than many of the years in 2013-2019 it seems entirely reasonable medium-term just to skip 2020-2022 as acute pandemic outliers, and begin moving the baseline forwards (as was the custom pre-covid). Then reassess it all in 2029 when there is a grand arc of history to look at.
As an outcome measure (and lagging) this is different to the key indicators.
Sources
This report currently depends on
- Current cases webpage: https://www.tewhatuora.govt.nz/for-health-professionals/data-and-statistics/covid-19-data/covid-19-current-cases/
- Ministry of Health covid data archive: https://github.com/minhealthnz/nz-covid-data/
- Shiny covid app: https://www.tewhatuora.govt.nz/for-health-professionals/data-and-statistics/covid-19-data/covid-19-current-cases/
- Wastewater: https://github.com/ESR-NZ/covid_in_wastewater this is available in a friendly public session at https://poops.nz